Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Solar and Geophysical Activity 15 Aug 2012


Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 228 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Aug 2012

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  Region 1542 (S14W46) produced
the largest event of the period, a C1/1f flare at 14/2232Z.  Region
1543 (N21W34) is the largest region on the disk and showed little
change while maintaining a beta-gamma magnetic configuration.  No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (16 - 18 August).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for active
conditions on day 1 (16 August) due to effects from the 13 August
CME. Unsettled to active levels with a slight chance for minor storm
conditions are expected on Day 2 (17 August) due to effects from the
14 August CME. Quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for
active conditions are expected on Day 3 (18 August) as effects of
the CME begin to subside.