Friday, July 06, 2012

latest current solar flare storm activity july 6 2012

latest current solar flare storm activity july 6 2012


X1.1 Solar Flare / Minor Radiation Storm
Sunspot 1515 has been teasing us with countless M-Class solar flares and it finally did what it has been threatening to do over the past several days. A major X1.1 Solar Flare was detected at 23:08 UTC. This event triggered a 10cm Radio Burst and a Type IV Sweep Frequency Event. The blast did generate a Coronal Mass Ejection, but it looks to be headed south and to the west. This should have little impact on Earth. The protons blasted away from the flare site are currently streaming past Earth and a S1 Minor Radiation Storm is in progress.
ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 06 2322 UTC
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2012 Jul 06 2304 UTC
Maximum Time: 2012 Jul 06 2306 UTC
End Time: 2012 Jul 06 2306 UTC
Duration: 2 minutes
Peak Flux: 520 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
Added 7/6/2012 @ 18:35 UTC
Aurora Watch
Currently our Geomagnetic Field is fairly quiet and visible aurora would be possible only around the polar regions. An increase in geomagnetic activity will be possible starting tomorrow should a CME sweep past our planet as predicted. A potential for minor geomagnetic storming watch was issued today by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.
WATCH: Geomagnetic A-index of 20 or greater predicted
NOAA Scale: Periods reaching the G1 (Minor) Level Likely
Valid for UTC Day: 2012 Jul 07
Updated 7/7/2012 @ 04:55 UTC
Solar Update / Large Sunspots
Solar activity is currently strong with an X1.1 Solar Flare detected around Sunspot 1515. A Coronal Mass Ejection was produced, but does not look to be Earth direcfted. While Sunspot 1515 currently has all the attention, we should also continue to monitor the large new sunspot that rotated into view off the southeast limb. This region did produce an M1.3 Solar Flare at 18:55 UTC Friday.
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Large New Sunspot (Saturday) - SDO

NOAA Solar Report - [SIDC Report

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Updated Jul 06 2200 UTC


Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 188 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jul 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was moderate. Region 1515 (S18W50)
continued to produce M-class flares, the largest an M2/Sn at
06/0140Z. The region continued to grow to 900 millionths and
maintained a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Region 1513
(N15W65) showed slight decay and is now considered an Hsx-alpha type
spot group.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a chance for X-class flares for the next three days
(07-09 July).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels during the period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
conditions on days one and two (07-08 July) due to combined effects
from the CMEs observed on 03 and 04 July. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on day three (09 July) as effects from the