Showing posts with label current. Show all posts
Showing posts with label current. Show all posts

Friday, August 23, 2013

latest solar flare activity august 23 2013

Analysis of Solar Active Regions and latest solar flare activity august 23 2013from 22/2100Z to
23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
22/2207Z from Region 1828 (N14E26). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
 
 IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on day one (24 Aug) and expected to
be low on days two and three (25 Aug, 26 Aug).


IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
593 km/s at 22/2215Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 22/2100Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 22/2205Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1857 pfu.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (24 Aug), quiet to
minor storm levels on day two (25 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (26 Aug). 
 
Solar activity was low.  Region 1820 (S12W73, Cao/beta) produced a C1 at
23/1557 UTC, which was the largest event of the period.  Region 1830
(S05W64, Dao/beta) showed minor growth while the other regions on the
disk were either stable or decaying.  A narrow coronal mass ejection
(CME) from Region 1820 was observed on LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery at
23/0048 UTC, but was not Earth-directed.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for M-class
flares on day one (24 Aug).  Solar activity is expected to be low for
days two and three (25 - 26 Aug).

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal to high levels, reaching a maximum value of 1,860 pfu at 23/1710
UTC.  The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected
to be at normal to high levels for the next three days (24 - 26 Aug). 
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected
to remain at background levels for the next three days (24 - 26 Aug).

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters, measured at ACE, were indicative of waning
coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) influence.  Solar wind speed
steadily decreased from initial values near 560 km/s to end-of-period
values near 475 km/s.  The total field strength ranged from 6 nT to 2 nT
while the Bz component ranged from +4 nT to -5 nT.  The phi angle
remained in a predominately positive (away) sector throughout the
period.

.Forecast...
Solar wind speed is expected to increase on day one (24 Aug) and remain
enhanced for days two and three (25 - 26 Aug) with arrival of the 21 Aug
CME and onset of a CH HSS late on day three.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels.

.Forecast...
With arrival of the 21 Aug CME, the geomagnetic field is expected to be
at unsettled to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on day one (24 Aug),
decreasing to quiet to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on day two
(25 Aug).  Predominately quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on
day three (26 Aug) with waning CME effects and the onset of a CH HSS.

Thursday, August 15, 2013

latest current solar flare storm activity august 15 2013


 latest current solar flare storm activity august 15 2013
Solar activity was at low levels. The largest event of the period, a
C2/Sf flare, erupted from Region 1818 (S07W07, Dki/beta) at 15/1756 UTC.
The region continued to exhibit a horizontal shear line and slight areal
growth over the period. The other region of interest, Region 1817
(S21W31, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) exhibited some intermediate spot decay
but redeveloped intermixed magnetic fields including a weak delta within
the large leader spot. The region was responsible for a C1/Sf at 15/1835
UTC. Two new regions were numbered during the period; Region 1822
(S08E57, Dao/beta) rapidly evolved on the disk and Region 1823 (S07E72,
Hsx/alpha) rotated onto the disk. The remaining spot groups were either
stable or in slight decay. At about 14/2000 UTC, both SDO/AIA 304 and
GONG H-alpha imagery observed a 21 degree long filament eruption
centered near S28W70. At 14/2200 UTC, SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery observed 
a slow-moving CME off the SW limb with a majority of the ejecta directed
just south of the ecliptic plane. WSA Enlil analysis indicated this CME
did not have an Earth-directed component.
.Forecast... Solar activity is expected to remain low for the next three days (16 - 18 Aug) with a chance for M-class activity (R1-R2 Radio Blackouts). Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit was at background levels. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels, with a chance for high levels, for the next three days (16 - 18 Aug). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at background levels for the next three days (16 - 18 Aug). Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind measurements at the ACE spacecraft were consistent with coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) conditions as Earth remained under the influence of (-) CH54. Winds speeds began the period at around 475 km/s and remained steady at this speed through about 15/1130 UTC. A gradual rise was then observed to about 600 km/s through 15/1845 UTC where speeds remained steady through the end of the period. Interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bt varied between 4 nT and 11 nT while the Bz component of the IMF varied between +11 to -9 nT. Phi was in a predominately negative (toward) orientation through about 15/1000 UTC when it became variable between negative and positive (away). .Forecast... Solar wind conditions should continue to reflect CH HSS effects for the next two days (16 - 17 Aug). Peak speeds are forecast to be in the 550 km/s to 600 km/s range as the bulk of CH54 becomes more geoeffective. By day three (18 Aug), solar wind speeds are expected to slowly decrease as CH HSS effects began to wane. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to CH HSS effects. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active periods on day one (16 Aug) as CH HSS effects persist. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on day two (17 Aug) becoming mostly quiet on day three (18 Aug) as CH HSS effects wane

Sunday, May 12, 2013

Solar flare Activity Solar Update CME Update 12 May 2013

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 132 Issued at 2200Z on 12 May 2013


IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to
12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
12/2032Z from a region around the east limb. There are currently 10
numbered sunspot regions on the disk.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 May, 14 May,
15 May).


IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 435 km/s at
11/2151Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 456 pfu.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (13 May), quiet levels on
day two (14 May) and quiet to active levels on day three (15 May).


III.  Event probabilities 13 May-15 May
Class M    50/50/50
Class X    05/05/05
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
 
 12 May 2013 CME Prediction, CME Update, coronal mass ejections, current, Current Solar Flare Activity, current solar flares, current solar magnetic storm, geomagnetic storm, Solar Update
Updated 05/13/2013 @ 02:10 UTC
X-Class Solar Flare
A major X-Class Solar Flare peaking at X1.7 was observed around an active region hiding off the east limb at 02:15 UTC. This event was also responsible for a strong R3 Level Radio Blackout on the sunlit side of Earth. This region is currently seething with activity and should begin to rotate into view within the next 24 hours. Because of the sunspot location, any associated Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) should be directed away from Earth. Stay Tuned to SolarHam.com for the latest and most up to date Space Weather information.

  M1.9 Flare
A moderate solar flare measuring M1.9 was detected around a new active region off the east limb at 20:32 UTC Sunday evening. This probable sunspot will rotate into view over the next few days. Image by SDO.

SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2013 May 13 0208 UTC
Maximum Time: 2013 May 13 0219 UTC
End Time: 2013 May 13 0222 UTC
Duration: 14 minutes
Peak Flux: 320 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

Saturday, April 13, 2013

Solar flare Activity Solar Update CME Update Apr 13 2013


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Solar flare Activity Solar Update CME Update Apr 13 2013
 
 
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
UPDATED 2013 Apr 13 2200 UTC


Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 103 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Apr 2013


IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to
13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
13/0334Z from Region 1718 (N21W58). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one and two (14 Apr, 15 Apr) and expected to be low with a chance
for M-class flares on day three (16 Apr).


IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 501 km/s at
12/2336Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 12/2240Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3 nT at 13/0036Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 10 pfu at 12/2205Z.
Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak
level of 268 pfu.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (14 Apr) and quiet
levels on days two and three (15 Apr, 16 Apr). Protons greater than 10
Mev have a chance of crossing threshold on day one (14 Apr) and have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on day two (15 Apr).

Thursday, April 11, 2013

Solar flare Activity Solar Update CME Update Apr 11 2013


Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 101 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Apr 2013


IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to
11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at
11/0716Z from Region 1719 (N10W00). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (12 Apr, 13 Apr, 14 Apr).


IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 507 km/s at
11/1243Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 11/0712Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -4 nT at 11/0916Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 114 pfu at 11/1645Z.
Protons greater than 100 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak
level of 2 pfu at 11/1400Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 385 pfu.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (12 Apr), quiet to major storm levels
on day two (13 Apr) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (14
Apr). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (12 Apr), have
a chance of crossing threshold on day two (13 Apr) and have a slight
chance of crossing threshold on day three (14 Apr).


III.  Event probabilities 12 Apr-14 Apr
Class M    50/50/50
Class X    15/15/15
Proton     99/30/10
PCAF       red



CME Update: A bright full-halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is visible within the new Lasco imagery. It appears that a bulk of the plasma is directed towards the east, however there also appears to be a fair sized Earth directed


A moderately strong solar flare was observed around Sunspot 1719 at 07:16 UTC. A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was generated and looks to be directed mostly to the east. There is however an Earth directed component that could deliver at least a glancing blow or more to our geomagnetic field within 48 hours. Energetic Proton Levels streaming past Earth are on the rise following the flare event. A minor to moderate S2 Level Radiation Storm is currently in progress.
A couple more solar flares of the smaller variety were observed following the initial M6.5 event. A minor flare measuring C4.2 was detected around 1721 in the southeast quadrant at 10:13 UTC. Departed Sunspot 1713 off the west limb produced a flare measuring C6.2 at 10:46 UTC. SolarSoft has the flare at C6.3.

Monday, November 19, 2012

Current Solar Flare Activity on 12/21/2012

12 21 2012, or December 21 2012 is often a date associated with the finish with the world. This date, 12 21 2012, arrives mostly from the extended count in the Mayan calendar. The Mayans for reasons unidentified were quite innovative within the study of astronomy. Their calendar is really many calendars in one. The calendar referred to as the extended count is the one which notes 12 21 2012 since the conclude in the earth as we realize it.The reason for this day is quite problematic. On December 21, 2012 or 12 21 2012, for the 1st time in 26000 a long time, the sun will conjunct the milky way, along with the elliptical plane

The Mayan Calendar has left us with a profound mystery. Academia, science and the clergy have labored long over the question as to why the calendar was extrapolated into the 21st century and why, on December 21st, 2012, it abruptly ends?


Eschatology could be the research in the stop of life on earth. There are several speculations just before 12 21 2012. One of many most recent instances for such speculation was referred to as Y2K. Though Y2K primarily was regarding computer systems, some noticed it like an indication from the end occasions. I think that a lot of folks experience that 2012 could be the conclude for any range of good reasons. Very first of all, guilt could play a part within this. Surely the human race has considerably to be ashamed of. Furthermore, many weather conditions changes and adjustments to our environment have taken spot. We've got noticed what alterations in local weather can do to our civilization in storms such as Katrina. Moreover to all of this, considerably of the world is facing horrible financial conditions

As the predicted date of the end of the world, that is the 12 21 2012 Polar Shift, draws nearer, the more we need to focus our attention on the innumerable things that could possibly happen on planet Earth. Theorists and experts alike have in fact, enumerated a number of possibilities that can take place come year 2012. Although there is no scientific proof to confirm that all such predictions will surely come true, there are countless of predictions about the possibilities that can happen in the envisaged Doomsday of 2012. Here are just a few of these possibilities that you should know regarding the December 12, 2012 Polar Shift so that you can be prepared as to what can possibly occur during such time:
1. Asteroid, Meteor And Comet
First and foremost, experts and theorists predict the possibility of experiencing an orbit which may culminate by colliding with our planet earth in the year 2012. While this may be the most predictable catastrophe come 2012, it will still be good to not doubt it and instead, equip ourselves with the appropriate survival kit to make sure that we stay alive even if the predicted phenomenon finally takes place.
2. Coronal Mass Ejection From The Sun
For those who may not know it, the CME or Coronal Mass Ejection which came from the sun and caused the year 1859's solar storm, is actually true. Such event took place during the month of September of 1859 bringing about a failure in the telegraph systems from corner to corner of North America as well as Europe. The same event is in fact, predicted to occur in the year 2012 when the end of the world is envisaged to take place. What is more, it is also forecast that there are going to be huge storms bringing such massive power blackouts at the same time, the wreckage of satellites.
3. Magnetic Pole Shift
Polar reversals such as the 12 21 2012 Polar Shift are predicted to be occurring at a time gap of 400,000 years. In fact, the most current polar shift that occurred happened about 730,000 years ago and not too many people even know about it. You see, even our scientists still lack the knowledge about polar reversals, in the same manner that they are not so sure until now, about how such magnetic fields are generated. Although they are able to predict that geomagnetic reversals such as the 12 21 2012 Polar Shift, would take about hundreds and hundreds of years to take place and that they actually cause no harm at all. But then this has been disputed as it was found out that polar shifts can actually take place in just a snap of the fingers, yes, as in anytime.
4. Explosion From The Black Hole
Another possibility that is expected to take place after a polar shift in planet Earth is the possible danger of a Galactic core explosion, or what is simply an explosion from the Black Hole at the center or middle of our galaxy. It is expected that such incident will bring about some cosmic ray super waves that would be gestured by a burst of gamma rays. These bursts are actually believed to cause the massively destructive tsunamis in our planet.

 There are many theories regarding just what will transpire on 12 21 2012. Several feel that solar flare activity will improve significantly and that a huge solar flare will strike the earth causing destruction. Other theories incorporate the earth being struck by a mystery planet or asteroid known as planet x. Nonetheless other speculations say that the earths wobble on its axis, will trigger drastic modifications while in the earths weather and environment creating mass destruction by components this kind of as tidal waves. Even though there are many diverse theories,several authorities agree that "something" will occur in 2012.Some people imagine that 2012 will mark the finish of everyday living on our planet, even though other people do not. Some see it as being a time of drastic change and survival for those that transform spiritually. So called specialists link the Mayan calendar with other prophesies these as Nostradamus, as well as the end occasions explained while in the Bible inside the guide of Revelations. Nevertheless there is certainly little or no if any connection to that actual day in both of these resources.
.
All of this could look just like the occasions preceding the end times.Considering that considerably with the info on 12 21 2012 is speculation, it is critical to have your data from a trustworthy resource. With this way you may make intelligent and educated decisions on what you feel. There are numerous authorities that sense 12 21 2012 is often a time for survival and good change. Let us hope that's true. 2012 Specifics

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Current Solar Flare Activity 2012

GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY CONTINUES: For the third day in a row, geomagnetic storms are circling the poles. In North America, auroras have spilled across the Canadian border descending as far south as Utah, Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska. The best place to see the show, according to pilot Matt Melnyk, is from the window of an airplane.


Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 283 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Oct 2012

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. A few C-class events were
observed during the period, most from a region around the southeast
limb that has not yet rotated onto the disk.  Three new regions were
numbered today with Region 1589 (N13E75) as the largest and most
active.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an isolated M-class flare over the next three days
(10-12 October).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field began the day at active levels before the onset
of two major storm periods (09/00-06Z). This peak activity was then
followed by a minor storm period before mostly quiet conditions
prevailed for the remainder of the period. The increased activity
was the result of residual effects from the CME on 05 October. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on day one (10 October), due to
high speed stream effects. Quiet to unsettled conditions are
forecast on day two (11 October) and mostly quiet levels are
expected on day three (12 October).


The storms were instigated by a CME strike on Oct. 8th and they are about to be re-energized by a solar wind stream due to hit Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 10th. NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of strong geomagnetic storms during the next 24 hours, so high-latitude sky watchers should remain alert for auroras

Friday, October 05, 2012

Current solar flare storm activity oct 2012


Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Updated Oct 04 2200 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 278 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Oct 2012

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-flares during the forecast period (05-07
October).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet during the forecast period (05-07
October).

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

latest Solar flare and Geophysical Activity june13 2012


Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jun 2012

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  Regions 1506 (N11E38), 1504
(S17E28), and 1507 (S27E02) were the most active regions on the
disk.  Each region was responsible for multiple C-flares during the
period.  The largest of these came from Region 1506 which produced a
C2 flare at 12/0315Z.  All three of these regions have shown signs
of growth.  There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the
period.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate.  There is a chance for an isolated M-class event from
Region 1504.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels.  Minor
storm levels were reached from 11/2100Z to 12/0300Z.  This was
followed by an active period from 12/0300Z to 12/0600Z.  Solar wind
observations indicated a sustained interval of negative Bz from
11/1500Z to 12/0200Z with peak values around -10nT.  In addition,
the data indicated a solar sector boundary crossing starting late on
the 11th.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (June 13).  Quiet levels
are expected for 14-15 June.

Thursday, April 19, 2012

Latest Solar Storms, Flare and Geophysical Activity news

Updated Apr 19 2200 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 110 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Apr 2012

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was low. The largest event of the period
was a C7 x-ray flare at 19/1126Z associated with Types II and IV
radio sweeps and a non-Earth-directed CME. This event may have
originated in old Region 1455 (N05, L=206), now about two days
beyond the west limb. Regions 1460 (N16W01) and 1463 (S26W49) each
produced a low-level C-class flare. Region 1460 showed spot growth
in its intermediate portion. Region 1462 (S24W31) produced a C1
flare at 19/1515Z associated with a CME that may have had an
Earthward component. Further analysis is required to determine if
the CME is likely to be geoeffective. New Region 1464 (N23E01,
Bxo-Beta) was numbered.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
during days 1 - 3 (20 - 22 April) with a chance for an isolated
M-class flare.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (20 April) with
a chance for brief active levels due to a recurrent solar sector
boundary crossing. Quiet levels are expected during days 2- 3 (21 -
22 April).

Wednesday, March 07, 2012

Geomagnetic Storm and Solar Wind Activity Report

Incoming! The new WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction is calling for an almost direct CME impact during the middle of tomorrow (March 8). The solar wind is expected to increase to over 800 km/s and Strong Geomagnetic Storming will be possible. This plasma cloud is the result of the X5.4 and X1.3 Solar Flare event very early this morning.
CME Impact / G2 Geomagnetic Storm
A moderate G2 Geomagnetic Storm (Kp=6) was sparked by an incoming Coronal Mass Ejection impact from an explosion earlier in the week. The IMF pointed -20nT South for long periods and this likely helped intensify the storm. The Kp did drop somewhat, however has again picked back up to the G2 level. Be on the lookout for Aurora at high latitudes.
The high energy proton levels continue to rise following the strong solar flare from very early this morning. A strong S3 Level Radiation Storm is now in progress. The increase in proton levels are a direct result of the major solar flare activity from early Wednesday morning around Sunspot 1429.
Updated 3/7/2012 @ 03:05 UTC
Major X5.4 Solar Flare + X1.3 Flare
The second strongest solar flare of Cycle 24 in terms of X-Ray Flux, just peaked around Active Sunspot 1429. This major event measured X5.4 at 00:24 UTC and triggered a strong R3 Level Radio Blackout. This was followed shortly thereafter by an X1.3 event at 01:14 UTC. A coronal mass ejection will likely result and due to the sunspots more geoeffective position, there will be a chance for some sort of impact.